Nekaj malega o računanju reprodukcijskega faktorja R
My realistic prediction three months ago
The real catastrophic scenario that happened
My most catastrophic scenario three months ago
Realistic prediction two months ago |
Most catastrophic scenario two months ago |
All population | Older 65+ |
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Prediction 16.12.2020 |
Prediction 65+ 16.12.2020 |
Incidences 16.12.2020 |
Incidences 65+ 16.12.2020 |
Table of model 13.12.2020 |
7 day centered averages 16.12.2020 |
Modeling 16.12.2020 You’re probably wondering which model am I using? I modulate with successive waves of infections accumulating over the previous one. Approximates by the method of least squares and boundary conditions. It is very stable and flexible and finds data errors quickly. Border conditions are very important because they correct errors in official data. I’m not guessing, the covid 19 virus is very predictable and can be beaten!. |
Occupancy hospitals and real needs 16.12.2020 |
Infected, died, active and cured daily according to the number of infected 15.12.2020 |
There is a formula to calculate truly newly infected even from targeted testing as it is performed today! 18.12.2020 |
Infection Formulas 11.12.2020 |
Deaths Formulas 11.12.2020 |
Occupancy of Covid19 Hospitals 14.12.2020 |
Comparison of deaths with the National Institute of Public Health |
Error of formula 13.12.2020 |
Error of formula 65+16.12.2020 |
7-day centered averages 14.12.2020 |
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Covid19 by ages |
Symptoms by ages |
Symptoms and Covid19 by ages |
The percentage of detected infected until the day |
Countries and Covid19 |
Countries and Covid19 and absolute numbers |
Prediction 16.12.2020 |
Incidences 16.12.2020 it's not the top. |
Error of Formula 12.12.2020 |
Two weeks ratio 15.12.2020 |
Prediction 13.12.2020 |
Incidences 13.12.2020 |
Error of Formula 13.12.2020 |
7-day centered averages 13.12.2020 |
Prediction 17.12.2020 |
Incidences 17.12.2020 |
Error of Formula 17.12.2020 |
7-day centered averages 17.12.2020 |
Prediction 18.12.2020 |
Incidences 18.12.2020 |
Error of Formula 18.12.2020 |
New infection and deaths compared to total infections 18.12.2020 |
Prediction 12.12.2020 |
Incidences 12.12.2020 |
Error of Formula 12.12.2020 |
Waves 12.12.2020 |
Epidemic status indices 12.12.2020 |
Soon will selfupdate and more!